Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.007190 0.008083 0.009060 0.010209 0.011529 0.012999 0.014768
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.005758 0.006965 0.008399 0.010241 0.012559 0.015401 0.019181
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.004873 0.006176 0.007812 0.010035 0.013012 0.016907 0.022463
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004401 0.005797 0.007628 0.010240 0.013926 0.019024 0.026760
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003967 0.005394 0.007338 0.010225 0.014485 0.020670 0.030576
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003489 0.004870 0.006809 0.009787 0.014351 0.021254 0.032834
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003201 0.004580 0.006573 0.009734 0.014757 0.022664 0.036549
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003089 0.004531 0.006677 0.010195 0.015997 0.025518 0.043058
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002797 0.004182 0.006291 0.009837 0.015860 0.026074 0.045629
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002567 0.003908 0.005995 0.009590 0.015869 0.026862 0.048712
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002419 0.003751 0.005868 0.009607 0.016327 0.028483 0.053603
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002361 0.003732 0.005962 0.010005 0.017500 0.031547 0.061840
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002199 0.003534 0.005749 0.009860 0.017691 0.032835 0.066768
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002082 0.003403 0.005642 0.009897 0.018235 0.034903 0.073799
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001939 0.003217 0.005421 0.009698 0.018289 0.035967 0.078732
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001870 0.003154 0.005412 0.009896 0.019157 0.038853 0.088507
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001777 0.003039 0.005299 0.009881 0.019581 0.040830 0.096437
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001637 0.002831 0.004997 0.009460 0.019093 0.040689 0.098899
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001556 0.002726 0.004883 0.009409 0.019402 0.042430 0.106725
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001542 0.002744 0.005003 0.009852 0.020867 0.047134 0.123802
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001437 0.002582 0.004761 0.009508 0.020484 0.047239 0.127606
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001352 0.002454 0.004576 0.009270 0.020325 0.047892 0.133213
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001300 0.002387 0.004510 0.009286 0.020778 0.050199 0.144496